Inference
Inference is the process of moving from data, premises, or observations to a conclusion.
Definicja
Inference may be deductive, inductive, abductive, or practical. Its quality depends on data, hidden assumptions, logic and awareness of cognitive biases. In everyday decisions, it is worth checking whether the conclusion is really based on facts or rather on emotions, the habit of interpretation or time pressure.
Kluczowe idee
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Praktyka i życie
Before making a strong conclusion, write down: the data, the assumption, and an alternative explanation. It's a simple test of the quality of your thinking.
Częste błędne rozumienie
It is a mistake to confuse the first explanation with the best. It is also a mistake to draw conclusions about the entire pattern from a single example.
Pytania do autorefleksji
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Źródła
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