Working hypotheses
Working hypotheses are preliminary, provisional explanations used to guide observation, testing, and action.
Definition
Working hypotheses are useful in situations with incomplete data. They allow you to act without pretending to be confident and at the same time avoid chaos. Unlike final beliefs, they should be easily updated as new information becomes available.
Key ideas
- Tymczasowość
- Kierunek testowania
- Aktualizacja na podstawie danych
Practice and life
For the problem, write down three working hypotheses and for each, specify the simplest test that will provide more information within a week.
Common misunderstanding
It is a mistake to fall in love with a working hypothesis. Her job is to conduct research, not to build an identity.
Questions for self-reflection
- Która hipoteza najlepiej tłumaczy obecne dane?
- Jak najprościej ją sprawdzić?
- Co musiałoby się wydarzyć, żebym ją odrzucił?