Uncertainty
Uncertainty is a state of lacking full knowledge of the outcome, meaning, or consequences of a situation.
Definition
Is natural with decisions, changes and complex problems. It may trigger anxiety, the need for excessive control or postponement of action. Dealing maturely with uncertainty is about distinguishing between what can be tested and what must be accepted as a risk.
Key ideas
- No complete data available
- Risk
- Decisions despite uncertainty
Practice and life
Divide the uncertainty into three parts: what I know, what I don't know, what I can't know now.
Common misconceptions
It is a mistake to expect 100% certainty before every move. The second mistake is to treat uncertainty as proof that the decision is wrong.
> Uncertainty determines where data needs to be collected.
> — Guru Element
Questions for self-reflection
- What data is missing?
- What can I check in the next step?
- How much uncertainty do I have to accept?